The CSN Victory Path (CVP) is a tool that allows you to explore a candidate's potential path to being declared winner in the 2023 Presidential elections taking place on February 25, 2023.
According to the 1999 Nigerian Constitution, Section 134 subsections 1 and 2, a candidate for an election to the office of the President must satisfy all of 3 distinct criteria in order to be duly elected:
Secure the majority of votes cast nationwide
Secure at least 25% of votes cast in at least 24 states
Secure at least 25% of votes cast in the FCT
If no candidate satisfies ALL 3 criteria, there will be a second ballot contested by 2 candidates as determined by section 134, subsection 3.
|Party||Simple majority||24 states||FCT|
No. The LGA split is only used to visually represent states where the users expect multiple parties to reach the 25% threshold of votes cast.
Potentially, all 18 political parties can win votes in any state. Mathematically, no more than 4 candidates can win up to 25% of the votes cast in a single state. And this is the threshold that matters from INEC's perspective when it comes to declaring a winner.